Bias, robustness and certainty

Assess trustworthiness of findings

Study risk of bias, sensitivity analysis and outcome-level certainty are distinct activities. Select appropriate tools and state their versions rather than assigning an unexplained quality score.

Flow diagram

Bias, robustness and certaintyF1.S1Choose appraisal approachF1.S2Study bias assessmentF1.S3Resolve judgmentsF1.S4Inform synthesisF1.S5Heterogeneity and missing evidenceF1.S6Sensitivity comparisonsF1.S7Assess certainty of evidenceF1.S8Interpret and documentF1.N1Study bias judgmentsStudy andresultDomainJudgmentRationaleEvidenceReviewerF1.N2Sensitivity scenariosQuestionMain methodAlternativeRationalePlannedcomparisonF1.N3Certainty assessmentOutcomeDomainJudgmentReasonSupportingevidenceF1.N4Assessment assumptionsF1.S0 Start flowBias, robustness and certaintyF1.S999 End flowEnd flow

Steps

Choose appraisal approach

Select methods appropriate to study designs and review questions.

Study bias assessment

Assess result-specific domains with supporting evidence and independent reviewers.

Resolve judgments

Document disagreements and adjudication before synthesis.

Inform synthesis

Prespecify how study limitations affect inclusion, grouping and sensitivity analyses.

Heterogeneity and missing evidence

Assess clinical and methodological differences, selective reporting and unavailable results.

Sensitivity comparisons

Compare justified alternative inclusion and model assumptions with the main synthesis.

Assess certainty of evidence

Judge certainty per outcome, considering limitations, inconsistency, indirectness, imprecision and missing evidence.

Interpret and document

Record reasons and limits of conclusions; no statistical test proves absence of bias.

Bias, robustness and certainty

End flow

Tables and supporting information

Study bias judgments

Study bias judgmentsStudy andresultDomainJudgmentRationaleEvidenceReviewer

Use the selected appraisal instrument, with traceable supporting passages.

Sensitivity scenarios

Sensitivity scenariosQuestionMain methodAlternativeRationalePlannedcomparison

Specify analyses before viewing results.

Certainty assessment

Certainty assessmentOutcomeDomainJudgmentReasonSupportingevidence

Do not prefill certainty ratings.

Assessment assumptions

Choose heterogeneity and small-study-effect methods according to available studies and assumptions; do not automatically require a funnel-plot test.

Sources