Adaptive design decision plan

Planned looks → adaptation criteria → permissible changes → subsequent analysis

Flow diagram

Adaptive design decision planAdaptive design decision planF1.S1Planned adaptationopportunitiesF1.S2Decision inputs and operatingcharacteristicsF1.S3Apply prespecified adaptationcriteriaF1.S4Continue unchangedF1.S5Apply permitted adaptationF1.S6Stop or close a componentF1.S7Final inference and decision recordF1.N1Simulation and operating characteristicsScenarioAssumptionsDecisionfrequencyErrormeasurePowerSamplesizeSourceScenarioF1.N2Permitted adaptation rulesTriggerInformationAllowedchangeLimitAuthorityInferenceimpactRuleF1.N3Simulation and design evidenceF1.N4Operational safeguards

Steps

Planned adaptation opportunities

Define timing, information maturity and data access.

Decision inputs and operating characteristics

Specify inputs and verify design behavior across simulation scenarios.

Apply prespecified adaptation criteria

Define the allowed decision set and who has authority.

Continue unchanged

Record rationale and next planned look.

Apply permitted adaptation

Specify allowed changes to sample size, arms or allocation without inventing a default adaptation.

Stop or close a component

Specify follow-up and final inference after stopping.

Final inference and decision record

Account for adaptation in estimation, testing and reporting.

Tables and supporting information

Simulation and operating characteristics

Simulation and operating characteristicsScenarioAssumptionsDecisionfrequencyErrormeasurePowerSamplesizeSourceScenario

Enter externally verified simulation results and software versions.

Permitted adaptation rules

Permitted adaptation rulesTriggerInformationAllowedchangeLimitAuthorityInferenceimpactRule

Do not infer authorization or a validated design from a drawn branch.

Simulation and design evidence

Attach method, simulation configuration and independent verification.

Operational safeguards

Specify confidentiality, review independence and implementation controls.

Sources