Confounding adjustment strategy

Causal question → covariates → adjustment method → diagnostics → analysis strategy

Flow diagram

Confounding adjustment strategyConfounding adjustment strategyF1.S1Causal question and targeteffectprimary · unspecifiedF1.S2Causal covariates and temporalorderingF1.S3Adjustment strategyF1.S4Overlap and balancediagnosticsF1.S5Revise strategy or restrict targetF1.S6Estimate effect and assess residualbiasF1.N1Covariate rationaleCovariateTimingCausal roleSourceMeasurementRationaleCovariateF1.N2Adjustment diagnosticsDiagnosticPopulationCriterionResultActionOverlapBalanceWeightstabilityF1.N3Identification assumptionsF1.N4Causal rationale and evidence

Steps

Causal question and target effect

Define exposure strategies and target population/estimand.

Causal covariates and temporal ordering

Choose confounders using substantive knowledge; distinguish mediators and colliders.

Adjustment strategy

Specify outcome modeling, stratification, matching, weighting or another justified approach.

Overlap and balance diagnostics

Assess support, balance, extreme weights and model adequacy.

Revise strategy or restrict target

Prespecify responses to inadequate overlap and record any changed target population.

Estimate effect and assess residual bias

Record uncertainty estimation and sensitivity to unmeasured or mismeasured confounding.

Tables and supporting information

Covariate rationale

Covariate rationaleCovariateTimingCausal roleSourceMeasurementRationaleCovariate

Do not automatically include post-exposure variables.

Adjustment diagnostics

Adjustment diagnosticsDiagnosticPopulationCriterionResultActionOverlapBalanceWeightstability

Planned criteria and completed results must remain distinct.

Identification assumptions

Record exchangeability, consistency, positivity and model assumptions appropriate to the chosen method.

Causal rationale and evidence

Attach clinical and methodological support; the editor does not discover confounders.

Sources